Problem Recognition, Definition, and Evaluation
On Tuesday I’ll be travelling to the states to attend my sister’s wedding. While on my trip to the States, my KITAS will expire. This brings up the question on how to handle my current living situation.
Development of the feasible alternatives
- No longer live in Indonesia
- Return to Indonesia on a tourist visa
- Renew my KITAS while in Los Angeles
- Renew my KITAS by making an additional trip to Singapore before returning to Jakarta
Development of cost for feasible alternatives
- If I no longer live in Indonesia, that will force me to move home to Las Vegas. Odds are I would have to stay with my sister while starting over. Due to a 10% reported unemployment, realistic is 20% unemployment and most jobs are service based it will be difficult to find employment there. As well my expenses for staying there will be triple my current expenses here.
- If I return to Indonesia on a tourist visa it will only cost me $25 to arrive. However, let’s assume I’ll stay here for one year. That means I need to leave the country every 30 days. The cheapest way to do that is to fly to Singapore every month. The average flight to Singapore is about $100 and the Jakarta airport also has an exit tax of $17.65. The total comes out to an expense of $1711.76 cents for the year.
- If I do my KITAS while in Los Angeles, I must immediately return within in a week of the telex being sent to Los Angeles. This will force me to complete this task at the end of my trip. This will also force me to make an additional return trip to Los Angeles. The entire duration of the trip will take 6 days. Since Los Angeles is a large town it will cost the price of two plane tickets at $100, 6 nights hotel at $150 per night, and 6 nights of vehicle rental at $50 a day and $500 to process the paperwork. The total cost of this option is $1900.
- If I do the KITAS in Singapore, I have the same return time frame as in Los Angeles. It will cost the same $500 to process the paperwork. It will cost $100 for the plane ticket. I will have to spend 3 nights in Singapore at $150 a night. The total cost for this option is $1050.
|1 – Las Vegas||$2500||Monthly||No|
|2 – Indonesia Tourist||$1711.76||Annual||Yes|
|3 – KITAS LA||$1900||Annual||Yes|
|4 – KITAS Singapore||$1050||Annual||Yes|
Selection of the criterion
- Disjunctive Resolution
Analysis and comparison of the alternatives
Paired Comparison – Dominance
|Alternative||1 Vs. 2||1 vs. 3||1 vs. 4||2 vs. 3||2 vs. 4||3 vs. 4|
|Cost||2 > 1||3 > 1||4 > 1||2 > 3||4 > 2||4 > 3|
|Duration||2 > 1||3 > 1||4 > 1||Same||Same||Same|
|Living Preference||2 > 1||3 > 1||4 > 1||Same||Same||Same|
Feasible Ranges for Satisficing
|Attribute||Minimum Acceptable Value||Maximum Acceptable Value||Unacceptable Alternative|
|Cost||0||1500||Alternative1 eliminated by dominance. 2 and 3 are eliminated by maximum value|
|Duration||Annual||Annual||No effect, but alternatives 1, 2, and 3 are already eliminated|
|Living Preference||Indonesia||Indonesia||No effect, but alternatives 1, 2, and 3 are already eliminated|
Selection of the preferred alternative
The preferred alternative is alternative 4 which is to get my KITAS in Singapore.
Performance monitoring and post evaluation results
Based on my results I have found that is more cost effective to stay in Indonesia. The multi attribute decision analysis eliminated all alternatives but one at satisificing eliminating the requirement of Disjunctive Resolution or Lexicography.